In Bangladeshor something like that Student protests against hiring costs Soon after, the country's longest-serving prime minister, Sheikh Hasina, became the successor. You protest, because they didn't start more than the past, they became violent on July 15, when or Supporters of Hasina’s Awami League clashed with students, urging the government to use tear gas, impose search warrants, block the internet, and order a shoot-on-the-spot response. The Bangladesh Nationalist Party, the opposition, and the Jamaat-e-Islami quickly joined the movement, escalating the violence.
By August 5, more than 300 people had been killed and hundreds injured. When an angry mob marched on Dhaka the same day, the military “took charge” of the country and Hasina Dimitrios.
An interim government will soon start working, and the country's future is now over, which is not good news for South Asia.
Hasina was a success story.
Bangladesh under Hasina's leadership has recorded significant economic growth and development. Or the country It has managed to maintain an average GDP growth rate of 6.6% over the past decade, with the poverty rate falling from 12% in 2008 to more than 5% in 2022. An increase from $100 billion in 2009 to $460 billion in 2022. Given this trajectory, the country is expected to pass the status of least developed country by 2026.
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In recent decades we have also gained some political stability. Or delete or Motim Two Rifles of Bangladesh In 2009, Hasina has faced repeated military coups in the country and has subordinated these forces to civilian authorities. It also brings continuity and certainty to the country's external behavior, especially with regard to the foreign policy of “friend to all, hatred against none”, which has been key to attracting investment and infrastructure from the West, India, Russia, China and Japan.
A crucial aspect of her successful foreign policy has been to win India’s trust and improve economic relations. Hasina has respected India’s three red lines, which the previous two BNP and Jamaat governments had violated on multiple occasions. These include protecting Hindu minorities, cracking down on extremists and militants from the Northeast who attack India from Bangladesh, and respecting India’s sensitivities and security concerns when they engage in hostile states like Pakistan and China.
Based on these strong relations, trade between the two countries has grown from $2 billion in 2007 to $14 billion in 2022, and starting next year, Nova Daily will be introduced to Dhaka. Over $8 billion in lines of credit.
The call will also be preceded by reopening railway lines, enhancing transit and port access, and building a diesel-gas pipeline. The two countries will also work to resolve their maritime disputes and ratify a land boundary agreement, heralding the start of a “golden era of India-Bangladesh relations.”
Looking for India to contact
Specifically, Nova Deli’s confidence in Hasina encouraged India to promote regional integration and connectivity across its borders, something Dhaka had long advocated. This was done for two reasons: first, it would help Indian companies boost their economies and promote economic cooperation among them, and second, it would help Deli discourage or increase the presence of Chinese investments in these countries.
Dhaka’s stability and economic growth will also make it an attractive market for South Asian countries like Nepal and Bhutan, both of which have significant energy potential, though they have limited foreign reserves and will be heavily dependent on India. Bangladesh has been drawn to these countries for their energy imports, export of their products, and additional incentives for its economic growth.
As a result, m In 2022, India will be granted — though this has not yet been implemented — free transport on Bangladeshi roads to Nepal and Putao. In June, New Delhi and Dhaka also issued a memorandum of understanding allowing Bangladesh Railways to travel to Nepal and Putao using Indian railways. Bangladesh itself has allowed Putao to build a special economic zone on its territory, which will be crucial to the Gelephu Special Administrative Region project when it connects via India.
On the other hand, India recently agreed to facilitate electricity trade from Nepal and Putao to Bangladesh through Indian power grids and transmission lines.
All these agreements would help Nepal, Bhutan and Bangladesh explore resources and trade together, saving time and costs, while reducing their dependence on China.
No news for India or your neighbors.
However, recent developments have threatened to create a major hurdle for business. There are now new complications in India-Bangladesh relations, and thus in their ambitions for improved bilateral and regional connectivity.
First and foremost, the country’s opposition, the BNP or JI, aims to help revitalize the country amid protests and violence. Both parties have historically championed strong ties with Pakistan and China, and have consistently violated India’s red lines. Over the past decade, they have increasingly promoted nationalist and religious sentiments against India, accusing Dilli of supporting Hasina. Protests by the BNP, Jamaat-e-Islami and its affiliates, including Hefazat-e-Islam (HI), have also played a role. against Visit of Prime Minister Narendra Modi In Bangladesh in 2021, the recent “India Out” campaign by BNP leaders and criticism of the MoU on railway connectivity indicate the continued skepticism of the Bangladeshi opposition regarding India and its initiatives.
Recently, the following tables and support They invaded Narsindi jail and freed nearly 800 prisoners, some of them trained militants. After Hasina’s resignation, they attacked the country’s Hindu minority and Awami League supporters. These developments not only highlight the opposition’s lack of concern for Dilli’s sensitivities, but also point to the grim prospect of a mass exodus and the revival of Dilli’s suspicions of Bangladesh. India’s National Security Council meeting with Hasina after her escape to India reflects Dilli’s security concerns about the unfolding developments.
Crescent distrust
Second, students and protesters who oppose Hasina often accuse India of propping up her regime. This narrative will grow depending on India’s response to developments. Indeed, many activists are already claiming that India will send troops to undermine its “hard-won freedom.” This distrust will certainly make it difficult for any government to foster strong ties with India and deepen its economic engagement.
Third, the army’s control over the country or its control over it raises questions about its ability to maintain stability, especially if it has its own influence. History of the early years of Bangladesh. As angry residents rage through deadly fires and violence across the country, some are expressing concern and dissatisfaction with the military administration. If this anger and disillusionment persists, it will lead to political and economic instability, affecting Bangladesh’s economy, investment, and communications efforts. This could also have repercussions for India.
The military also intends to dissolve the current parliament and form an interim government. Consultation with political parties and stakeholders. However, the fact that the latest such consultation, held on August 5, included student organizations, members of the Jamaat-e-Islami, the Haitian Party and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party, but excluded the Awami League, was not very reassuring to Dili. BNP chief and Hasina's arch rival, Khaleda Zia, was released hours after his first dismissal, It raises similar concerns about the direction, composition and intent of a potential interim government.
Shock to Delhi
Hasina's resignation may be a major strategic clash For Delhi in recent years. Your government's economic and foreign policy has been to promote strong engagement with India and around the hub of communication and regional integration. With your departure, everything here is on the brink. This is not to say that it will be completely impossible for Delhi to find a way to work with a new regime, but any such initiative will be difficult, as it will require building trust and respecting each other's red lines. Or it is not an easy task, given the history and politics of the two countries.
Now, there is great news about Dhaka's escape, mostly, Daily and their guests.
(The author is an Associate Fellow in Biology Studies, Observer Research Foundation)
Disclaimer: These are the author's personal opinions.
